What is asset allocation and why does it matter?

Asset allocation is fundamental to achieving investment goals. In fact, asset allocation is likely to have a bigger impact on the performance of a portfolio than the selection of individual investments.

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Asset allocation is fundamental in seeking to achieving investment goals. In fact, asset allocation is likely to have a bigger impact on the performance of a portfolio than the selection of individual investments

The role of asset allocation in a portfolio

Asset allocation is the process of balancing risk and return in a portfolio by investing across different asset classes. The major asset classes include bonds, stocks and cash. We discuss the different asset classes in Series 4, Topic 2 - What are the major asset classes and how do they differ?

Maintaining a diversified portfolio can help investors prepare for shifts in the economy, providing potential to not only capture opportunities but also minimize risks of overconcentration.

Traditional asset allocation strategies seek to mitigate overall portfolio volatility by combining asset classes with low correlations to each other – that is, asset classes that don’t tend to move in the same direction at the same time.

For example, the correlation between U.S. stocks and bonds has been mostly negative for the past 15 years, as captured in the chart below.

correlation between stocks and treasuries

The portfolio examples below help to illustrate the potential benefits of combining asset classes with low or negative correlations. The portfolio in scenario 1 is invested entirely in U.S. equities, while the portfolio in scenario 2 has a 60% allocation to equities and a 40% allocation to bonds. As you can see in the risk/return data presented, having more than one asset class with low or negative correlations to each other (equities and bonds) can help to lower volatility while still achieving solid growth.

potential benefits of combining asset classes

The impact of globalization on correlation

In today’s market, asset class correlations have become less stable than many investors realize. Long-term trends such as globalization have driven correlations higher.

In addition, correlations may increase during periods of market turbulence. As a result, seemingly distinct asset classes appear likely to behave more similarly than many investors expect.

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This environment makes it more challenging to construct a truly diversified and resilient portfolio because assets that were previously unrelated can now represent exposure to the same risk factors. For more information on risk factors, refer to Series 4, Topic 3 – What is risk factor diversification?

Managing asset allocation

Professional investment managers typically approach asset allocation from two perspectives – strategic asset allocation and tactical asset allocation. By using both in combination, the manager is able to not only set the long-term course for the portfolio but also respond to short-term market drivers.

Strategic asset allocation, which provides the long-term focus for a portfolio, is based on three key factors: investment objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon. Depending on the return targets and the level of risk that can be tolerated, portfolios may be labeled as conservative, income & growth, growth or high growth. Below are examples of hypothetical portfolios showing percentage targets for different asset classes.

hypothetical portfolios showing percentage targets for different asset classes

As markets are constantly changing, maintaining strategic asset allocation in a portfolio requires periodic rebalancing to maintain target allocations. In addition, an investor’s strategic asset allocation will likely change over time to reflect changing investment objectives, risk tolerance and time horizons. For more information, refer to Series 4, Topic 4 – Should asset allocation change over time? 

Tactical asset allocation, on the other hand, uses active management to increase or decrease exposure to a certain asset class based on macro fundamentals, valuations and market movements. Tactical asset allocation operates to take advantage of short-term opportunities, complementing the strategic asset allocation direction.

A well-diversified portfolio may also invest in different investments within each asset class. For example, the equity allocation in a portfolio may include domestic and international equities across a number of sub-sectors. For more information, refer to Module 4, Topic 2 – What are the major asset classes and how do they differ?

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All investments contain risk and may lose value. Asset allocation is the process of distributing investments among various classes of investments (e.g., stocks and bonds). It does not guarantee future results, ensure a profit or protect against loss. Equity investments may decline in value due to both real and perceived general market, economic and industry conditions, while fixed income investments are subject to credit, interest rate and other risks.  Investing in foreign-denominated and/or -domiciled securities may involve heightened risk due to currency fluctuations, and economic and political risks, which may be enhanced in emerging markets. Diversification does not ensure against loss.

The correlation of various indexes or securities against one another or against inflation is based upon data over a certain time period. These correlations may vary substantially in the future or over different time periods that can result in greater volatility. Hypothetical and simulated examples have many inherent limitations and are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. There are frequently sharp differences between simulated results and the actual results. There are numerous factors related to the markets in general or the implementation of any specific investment strategy, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of simulated results and all of which can adversely affect actual results. No guarantee is being made that the stated results will be achieved.  Investors should consult their investment professional prior to making an investment decision.

This material has been distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission. PIMCO is a trademark of Allianz Asset Management of America L.P. in the United States and throughout the world. ©2018, PIMCO.